Tag: computational fluid dynamics

  • AI-Based Weather Forecasting Has Blind Spots

    AI-Based Weather Forecasting Has Blind Spots

    Traditional weather forecasting models are physics-based and rely on supercomputers. Practically speaking, this means that they start from the basic governing equations (like the Navier-Stokes equations) and use approximations to model aspects of the problem in order to make the physics solvable, given constraints on time, computational power, spatial resolution, and so on.

    So-called AI models approach the problem differently, training a model on past weather conditions in order to predict future weather. In some respects, this approach is very successful; AI-based models require less computational infrastructure to run and, in recent years, have greatly improved their predictions of everyday weather.

    However, these AI models do poorly when predicting extreme weather events, because their training data contain relatively few examples of these events. They show limited ability to extrapolate their predictions to more extreme events. But these events–like the unprecedented 2021 heatwave in the Pacific Northwest or many of the Category 5 hurricanes we’ve seen in the last decade–are happening increasingly often due to climate change. Those events will keep happening, more frequently, as warming continues. Physics-based models can predict and forecast these events in ways that AI-based models fail to because they are limited by their trained experiences.

    Researchers are working to find ways to better equip AI-based models with more physical sense, but, as these models proliferate, it’s important for their users (and those of us using their forecasts) to know what their current weaknesses are. (Image credit: B. McGowan; research credit: Y. Sun et al.; see also S. Nath and T. Palmer; via Gizmodo)

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  • Understanding Pollen Dispersal

    Understanding Pollen Dispersal

    When the wind blows, trees shift and sway, reconfiguring their shape and their leaves in response. For parts of the year, that flow can also pluck pollen grains off the tree, carrying them on the winds. A new computational simulation models this pollen dispersal from a tree, with the aim of eventually integrating into a tool for urban planners.

    Trees are an important component to fighting climate change, especially in cities, because they cool their surroundings in addition to providing fresh oxygen. But urban planners recognize the downsides to trees, too–allergies, anyone?–and, with the right tools, they could maximize the trees’ advantages while minimizing pollen spread for allergy-sufferers. (Image credit: M. Kรถles; research credit: T. Dbouk et al.; via Physics World)

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    Understanding Fish and Turbines

    Fish detect turbulence in the water around them; among other things, this helps them avoid colliding with objects. Here, researchers are looking to understand how fish interact with underwater turbines. Experiments give them a set of trajectories that actual fish follow when dealing with the experimental turbine. But to understand what the fish is detecting, the researchers build a digital facsimile of the turbine and use Large Eddy Simulation (LES) to calculate the turbine’s wake.

    By overlaying the fish trajectories onto the simulated flow structures, they can better understand what flows the fish is and is not comfortable with. That knowledge helps engineers design turbines with smaller ecological impact. (Video and image credit: H. Seyedzadeh et al.)

  • Richtmyer-Meshkov Instability

    Richtmyer-Meshkov Instability

    If you send a shock wave through a magnetized plasma–something that happens in both supernova explosions and inertial confinement fusion–it can trigger an instability known as the Richtmyer-Meshkov instability. The image above shows a form of this, taken from a simulation. Rather than treating the plasma as a single idealized fluid, the researchers represented it as two fluids: an ion fluid and an electron fluid. This allowed them to better capture what happens when certain components of the plasma react to changes faster than others do.

    The image itself shows the electron number density across the fluid, where darker colors represent higher electron number density. The interface between high and low-densities shows a roll-up instability that resembles the Kelvin-Helmholtz instability, but there are also regions of mushroom-like plumes that more closely resemble Rayleigh-Taylor instabilities.

    The authors note that these structures don’t appear in simulations that represent a plasma as a single fluid; you need the two-fluid representation to see them. (Image and research credit: O. Thompson et al.)

  • Improving Turbulence Models

    Improving Turbulence Models

    Calculating turbulent flows like those found in the ocean and atmosphere is extremely expensive computationally. That’s why forecasting models use techniques like Large Eddy Simulation (LES), where large physical scales are calculated according to the governing physical equations while smaller scales are approximated with mathematical models. Researchers are always looking for ways to improve these models–making them more physically accurate, easier to compute, and more computationally stable.

    In a new study, researchers used an equation-discovery tool to find new improvements to these models for the smaller turbulent scales. They started by doing a full, computationally expensive calculation of the turbulent flow. The equation-discovery tool then analyzed these results, looking to match them to a library of over 900 possible equations. When it found a form that fit the data, the researchers were then able to show analytically how to derive that equation from the underlying physics. The result is a new equation that models these smaller scales in a way that’s physically accurate and computationally stable, offering possibilities for better LES. (Image credit: CasSa Paintings; research credit: K. Jakhar et al.; via APS)

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    Drag Reduction Via Bubbles

    To help reduce greenhouse emissions, businesses are exploring systems that reduce a container ship’s drag by releasing bubbles beneath them. But how do bubbles reduce drag? To find out, researchers simulated a bubbly flow that mimics the underside of a moving ship. By playing with the balance between inertial forces, buoyancy, and surface tension, they were able to sweep through conditions that the bubbles could experience.

    The best performance comes when bubbles stick together and coat the entire underside of the surface. In that case, they measured a nearly 40% reduction in the drag. But other conditions were not so fortuitous; in fact, with poorly chosen conditions, adding bubbles could actually increase the drag. (Video and image credit: S. Di Georgio et al.)

  • Inside Cepheid Variable Stars

    Inside Cepheid Variable Stars

    Cepheid variable stars pulsate in brightness over regular periods. That’s one reason astronomers use them as a standard candle to judge distances–even for stars well outside our galaxy. In this image, researchers display a simulation of convection inside a Cepheid eight times more massive than our sun. The colors represent vorticity, with zero vorticity in white.(Image credit: M. Stuck and J. Pratt)

    A research poster showing a simulation of convection inside a Cepheid variable star with 8 solar masses.
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    ExaWind Simulation

    Large-scale computational fluid dynamics simulations face many challenges. Among them is the need to capture both large physical scales–like those of Earth’s atmospheric boundary layer–and small scales–like those of tiny eddies moving around a wind-turbine blade. Capturing all of these scales for a problem like four wind turbines in a wind farm requires using the full computing power of every processor in a large supercomputer. That’s the level of power behind the simulation visualized in this video. The results, however, are stunning. (Video and image credit: M. da Frahan et al.)

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  • Oceans Could “Burp” Out Absorbed Heat

    Oceans Could “Burp” Out Absorbed Heat

    Earth’s atmosphere and oceans form a complicated and interconnected system. Water, carbon, nutrients, and heat move back and forth between them. As humanity pumps more carbon and heat into the atmosphere, the oceans–and particularly the Southern Ocean–have been absorbing both. A new study looks ahead at what the long-term consequences of that could be.

    The team modeled a scenario where, after decades of carbon emissions, the world instead sees a net decrease in carbon–which could be achieved by combining green energy production with carbon uptake technologies. They found that, after centuries of carbon reduction and gradual cooling, the Southern Ocean could release some of its pent-up heat in a “burp” that would raise global temperatures by tenths of a degree for decades to a century. The burp would not raise carbon levels, though.

    The research suggests that we should continue working to understand the complex balance between the atmosphere and oceans–and how our changes will affect that balance not only now but in the future. (Image credit: J. Owens; research credit: I. Frenger et al.; via Eos)

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  • Waves Over Sand Ripples

    Waves Over Sand Ripples

    Look beneath the waves on a beach or in a bay, and you’ll find ripples in the sand. Passing waves shape these sandforms and can even build them to heights that require dredging to keep waterways passable to large ships. To better understand how the sand interacts with the flow, researchers build computer models that couple the flow of the water with the behavior of individual sand grains. One recent study found that sand grains experienced the most shear stress as the flow first accelerates and then again when a vortex forms near the crest of the ripple. (Image credit: D. Hall; research credit: S. DeVoe et al.; via Eos)

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