A Seismic Warning for the Tongan Eruption

In mid-January 2022, the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai (HTHH) volcano had one of the most massive eruptions ever recorded, destroying an island, generating a tsunami, and blanketing Tonga in ash. Volcanologists are accustomed to monitoring nearby seismic equipment for signs of an imminent eruption, but researchers found that the HTHH eruption generated a surface-level seismic wave picked up by detectors 750 kilometers away about 15 minutes before the eruption began. They propose that the seismic wave occurred when the oceanic crust beneath the caldera fractured. That fracture could have allowed seawater and magma to mix above the volcano’s subsurface magma chamber, creating the explosive trigger for the eruption. Their finding suggests that real-time monitoring for these distant signals could provide valuable early warning of future eruptions. (Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory; research credit: T. Horiuchi et al.; via Gizmodo and AGU News)